In the Horn of Africa, climate stress and armed conflict are not separate crises—they are mutually reinforcing drivers of instability and mass suffering.”
Category: Conflict Analysis
War in Ukraine: One Year of Conflict, Displacement and Global Consequences
Ukraine’s citizens and military forces have demonstrated extraordinary resilience, holding their ground despite the relentless assault on civilians and infrastructure.”
Türkiye’s Aggression in Northern Syria and Iraq: Escalation, Civilian Harm, and the Limits of Allied Accountability
Military escalation framed as counterterrorism risks normalizing civilian harm and eroding international standards designed to protect populations in conflict.”
“We Cannot Be Broken” Historical Memory, Starvation Tactics, and Russia’s War on Ukraine
From engineered famine to weaponized infrastructure, the continuity lies in targeting the means of civilian survival.”
Ukraine’s Most Vulnerable: Civilian Risk, Systemic Strain, and the Expanding Humanitarian Impact of War
In modern conflict, vulnerability is not incidental—it is structured by who cannot flee, who cannot access care, and who remains exposed to sustained violence.”
A Year of Taliban Rule: Repression, Economic Collapse, and Renewed Security Threats in Afghanistan
A year of Taliban rule has not marked a transition—it has marked a reversion.”
Hiroshima: An Argument for NPT- Memory, Risk, and the Fragility of Nuclear Restraint
Deterrence has prevented use—but it has not eliminated risk.”
Afghanistan’s Economic Crisis: Sanctions, Financial Isolation, and the Collapse of State Function
Economic isolation has not only constrained governance—it has transferred the cost of political decisions directly onto the civilian population.”
Breakdown of Rule of Law in Myanmar: Military Coup, State Violence, and the Erosion of Democratic Institutions
The breakdown of rule of law in Myanmar reflects not only a seizure of power, but the institutionalization of violence as a tool of governance.”
Protection of Civilians: International Humanitarian Law and the Limits of Protection in Modern Conflict
The protection of civilians is not a conceptual ideal—it is a legal obligation repeatedly tested, and too often undermined, in modern conflict.”