When Armed Groups Govern: Civilian Protection and Policy Constraints in Lebanon, Gaza, and Yemen

Where armed groups function as governing authorities, civilian protection is shaped not only by conflict dynamics, but by the structure of power itself.”

Lebanon on the Edge: Escalation and Civilian Risk in a Regional Conflict

Escalation across borders does not remain contained—it expands the geography of civilian risk.”

Sudan’s War and the Collapse of Civilian Protection: Escalating Atrocity Risks Amid State Fragmentation

The erosion of centralized authority in Sudan has created conditions in which civilian protection is no longer incidental to the conflict—it is structurally absent.”

From Nuclear Diplomacy to Armed Conflict: The Collapse of the Iran Deal and the Legal Path to War

The collapse of the Iran nuclear deal marks the moment when a legal framework for containment gave way to a strategic pathway toward war.”

U.S. Use of Force in Venezuela and International Law

When military force is used without legal justification, the line between law enforcement and war collapses, undermining the international legal order.”

The Fall of El-Fasher: Siege, Warfare, Ethnic Violence, and Atrocity Risk in Darfur

Prolonged siege, ethnic targeting, and systematic violence in El-Fasher signal an urgent need for intervention to prevent large-scale atrocities against civilian populations.”

Ceasefire Breakdown in Gaza: Renewed Israeli Strikes and the Limits of Humanitarian Access

The breakdown of ceasefire commitments in Gaza underscores how fragile agreements, restricted aid, and renewed strikes can rapidly escalate risks for civilians.”

Sexual Violence in Sudan’s War: Patterns, Impunity, and Civilian Protection

Sexual violence in Sudan’s war is not incidental—it is a method of warfare that exploits impunity and targets the social fabric of communities.”